Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.608446 1.857671 2.127270 2.439893 2.791714 3.174676 3.622336
2024-10-20 1.166685 1.497141 1.887209 2.378522 2.977454 3.680283 4.563554
2024-10-27 0.914748 1.289169 1.766295 2.411412 3.252322 4.301827 5.699890
2024-11-03 0.735866 1.128913 1.665248 2.436886 3.502298 4.902965 6.861288
2024-11-10 0.597414 0.991450 1.563879 2.434726 3.699836 5.440001 7.976114
2024-11-17 0.483551 0.864803 1.452262 2.393351 3.825330 5.876733 8.978717
2024-11-24 0.393191 0.755526 1.345931 2.338519 3.914718 6.257795 9.920382
2024-12-01 0.334690 0.686925 1.290772 2.350818 4.098880 6.782833 11.100605
2024-12-08 0.282256 0.618226 1.223473 2.331193 4.224720 7.222005 12.175152
2024-12-15 0.250915 0.582578 1.206966 2.392278 4.482637 7.879358 13.622770
2024-12-22 0.217606 0.536291 1.163623 2.398954 4.645961 8.392545 14.870943
2024-12-29 0.201223 0.522040 1.178074 2.510490 4.997612 9.234201 16.696400
2025-01-05 0.181286 0.497475 1.171289 2.585993 5.300403 10.029796 18.523076
2025-01-12 0.154752 0.452341 1.116351 2.562383 5.421506 10.526403 19.887317
2025-01-19 0.138261 0.427918 1.101418 2.616450 5.692107 11.302023 21.776717
2025-01-26 0.122624 0.402109 1.079338 2.652519 5.930142 12.034206 23.633384
2025-02-02 0.106937 0.372370 1.043437 2.654155 6.098992 12.649752 25.317493
2025-02-09 0.091045 0.337922 0.990566 2.611325 6.172507 13.090814 26.709921
2025-02-16 0.076819 0.304479 0.934303 2.552957 6.206672 13.456709 27.981810
2025-02-23 0.067826 0.285024 0.910449 2.566589 6.393068 14.125369 29.851053
2025-03-02 0.058686 0.262413 0.874240 2.545568 6.501158 14.644990 31.463538
2025-03-09 0.053799 0.253307 0.873583 2.611575 6.805918 15.572202 33.900336
2025-03-16 0.047571 0.237406 0.850878 2.618813 6.977848 16.239477 35.864483